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Value of information: four inputs to check before a study

Table of the four inputs for a value of information check: the decision, the options, the switch point and the cost of being wrong, with how each one fails.
Write these four lines before a single question. An empty switch point means a study worth nothing.

A table of the four inputs a research team needs to judge whether a study is worth running: the decision it feeds, the realistic options, the result that would switch the choice and the cost of choosing wrong. Each row gives the question to ask the decision owner and the answer that signals trouble. It takes about fifteen minutes and comes from value of information analysis in health economics.

Where this appears

What's in this reference table

InputThe question to askTypical failure
The decisionWhat action does this study feed, and who takes it?For general understanding, which means no decision and so no value
The optionsWhat are the two or three things we might actually do?Only one option is real. The others are decoration
The switch pointWhat result would make us pick a different option?Nobody can name one, at any value
The cost of being wrongIf we pick wrong, what does it cost over the life of the decision?Stated as a lot, not a number with a denominator and a time horizon

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<p>Source: <a href="https://www.koji.so/visuals/value-of-information-four-inputs-table">Value of information: four inputs to check before a study</a>, Koji</p>