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Column chart

How well chatbots matched real purchase intent

Asking for a number gave a poor match. Asking for words first gave a close one.

Column chart: two chatbots matched real purchase-intent ratings at 0.26 and 0.39 when asked for a score, and 0.88 and 0.80 when asked for words first.
The method you use to ask matters more than which chatbot you ask. Source: Maier et al., LLMs Reproduce Human Purchase Intent via Semantic Similarity Elicitation of Likert Ratings, arXiv, 2025

A 2025 preprint tested whether language models can stand in for survey respondents on purchase intent for product concepts. Asking directly for a 1 to 5 score matched real ratings poorly. Asking for a short opinion in words and converting it to a score matched far better. Useful for founders who are tempted to treat a chatbot answer as customer evidence: even the good result is about packaged consumer goods, not a new niche idea.

Where this appears

What's in this column chart

Ask for a 1 to 5 scoreFree text, then convert
Model 10.260.88
Model 20.390.8

Distributional similarity score from 0 to 1. Two chatbots, product-concept purchase intent.

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<a href="https://www.koji.so/visuals/llm-purchase-intent-direct-rating-vs-semantic-similarity"><img src="https://www.koji.so/visuals/llm-purchase-intent-direct-rating-vs-semantic-similarity/llm-purchase-intent-direct-rating-vs-semantic-similarity.png" alt="Column chart: two chatbots matched real purchase-intent ratings at 0.26 and 0.39 when asked for a score, and 0.88 and 0.80 when asked for words first." width="1200" height="793" /></a>
<p>Source: <a href="https://www.koji.so/visuals/llm-purchase-intent-direct-rating-vs-semantic-similarity">How well chatbots matched real purchase intent</a>, Koji</p>