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Framework

The evidence ladder for roadmap bets

Five grades from assumed to behavioural

Framework showing five evidence grades for a roadmap bet, from assumed and anecdotal through patterned and counted to behavioural.
Grade each bet honestly before the sprint, and again after it.

A five-step ladder for grading how well customers back a roadmap bet, from an assumption up to a stated need that matches usage data. Product managers use it before quarterly planning to see which bets deserve the top slots and which are hunches. Koji's interview reports give the counts and quotes that move a bet up a step.

Where this appears

What's in this framework

  1. 1. Assumed: No customer input. The idea came from us.
  2. 2. Anecdotal: One request or one loud account.
  3. 3. Patterned: The same problem from 3 or more people in one segment.
  4. 4. Counted: The pattern holds across segments, with a count: 11 of 30.
  5. 5. Behavioural: What people say matches what usage data shows they do.

Use this image

Free to use in your docs, decks and posts under CC BY 4.0, as long as you credit Koji with a link to this page. To embed it, paste this into your page:

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<a href="https://www.koji.so/visuals/roadmap-bet-evidence-ladder"><img src="https://www.koji.so/visuals/roadmap-bet-evidence-ladder/roadmap-bet-evidence-ladder.png" alt="Framework showing five evidence grades for a roadmap bet, from assumed and anecdotal through patterned and counted to behavioural." width="1080" height="1080" /></a>
<p>Source: <a href="https://www.koji.so/visuals/roadmap-bet-evidence-ladder">The evidence ladder for roadmap bets</a>, Koji</p>