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Benchmark range

What a 40% PMF score could really be

The 95% range around a Sean Ellis score, by number of responses

Range chart of the 95% Wilson interval around a 40% PMF score: 23% to 59% at 25 responses, 25% to 58% at 30, 28% to 54% at 50 and 31% to 50% at 100.
Same 40% score, very different certainty. Count your answers before you celebrate or panic. Source: Koji calculation, Wilson interval at 95% (Brown, Cai and DasGupta, 2001)

A chart for founders reading a product-market fit survey from a small sample. It shows the 95% Wilson interval around a 40% very disappointed score at 25, 30, 50 and 100 responses, so you can see how wide the real range is before you call it fit or no fit. Use it to report your own score as a range to a co-founder or investor. Koji runs the Sean Ellis question as a structured question inside an AI interview, so each answer comes with the reason behind it.

Where this appears

What's in this benchmark range

Low end of rangeYour scoreHigh end of rangeRange
25 responses (10 of 25)23%40%59%23% to 59%
30 responses (12 of 30)25%40%58%25% to 58%
50 responses (20 of 50)28%40%54%28% to 54%
100 responses (40 of 100)31%40%50%31% to 50%

95% Wilson interval. The same 40% score from different numbers of responses.

Use this image

Free to use in your docs, decks and posts under CC BY 4.0, as long as you credit Koji with a link to this page. To embed it, paste this into your page:

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<a href="https://www.koji.so/visuals/pmf-score-40-percent-real-range-by-responses"><img src="https://www.koji.so/visuals/pmf-score-40-percent-real-range-by-responses/pmf-score-40-percent-real-range-by-responses.png" alt="Range chart of the 95% Wilson interval around a 40% PMF score: 23% to 59% at 25 responses, 25% to 58% at 30, 28% to 54% at 50 and 31% to 50% at 100." width="1200" height="646" /></a>
<p>Source: <a href="https://www.koji.so/visuals/pmf-score-40-percent-real-range-by-responses">What a 40% PMF score could really be</a>, Koji</p>